Uncertainty in Border-Crossing as Trade Impediment: Evidence from Southern African Export Shipments
Abstract Code: 30168
Topics:
Keywords: freight, trade logistics, infrastructure, transportation
Session Type: Paper Abstract
Authors:
Paul Jung, Inha University
Jean-Claude Thill, University of North Carolina at Charlotte
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
Abstract
Developing countries often suffer from shipment delay in shipment processes due to lack of inland transportation infrastructure supporting stable operation of logistics. The delay increases uncertainty in travel time of shipments to ports and impedes freight mobility and export shipment activities. Even with the recent infrastructure development, export shipments from Southern African countries have experienced frequent disruptions on roads, lengthy waiting at border posts, and delay in logistics processes. We investigate export shipments from 10 Southern African countries to the U.S. to see how uncertainty in shipping affects routing patterns to ports. The micro-level discrete choice analysis on the disaggregated shipment data confirms that the shipping delay has a significant negative influence on the port choice and greatly limits access to the global market. We found that a port is not likely to be chosen as an export gateway if the corridor has a high level of travel-time uncertainty even when it is physically less distanced from the shipping origin. The results support for accommodation of remedies to reduce shipping delays and disruptions during inland travels for improved freight mobility and export activities.
Uncertainty in Border-Crossing as Trade Impediment: Evidence from Southern African Export Shipments
Category
Paper Abstract
Description
Submitted By: Paul Jung, Inha University
paul.jung@inha.ac.kr
Abstract Code: 30168