Examining the Impact of Urban Trails on Crime Rates: A Case Study of Toledo

Keywords: Urban Trials, Crime Rate, Crime Reduction, Spatial Crime Patterns, GIS-Based Crime Analysis, Urban Design,
Abstract Type: Paper Abstract

Abstract

Urban trails are integral to enhancing cities' livability and offer various benefits, such as increased opportunities for physical activity, environmental conservation, and community connectivity. However, the influence of urban trails on local crime rates remains a subject of debate. While some research suggests that increased foot traffic along trails may help deter crime through the presence of active users, other studies have raised concerns that trails could inadvertently create new avenues for criminal activity by providing isolated or poorly surveilled spaces. This study explores the relationship between urban trails and crime patterns in Toledo, Ohio, to determine whether the presence of trails correlates with variations in crime rates. Using spatial analysis and geographic information systems (GIS), we investigate crime data and trail proximity, complemented by demographic and socioeconomic variables, to analyze potential spatial and temporal correlations. Employing spatial regression models, we seek to clarify whether urban trails contribute to reductions in neighborhood crime or if certain factors mediate this relationship. This research contributes to understanding urban trail impacts on public safety by providing insights for urban planners, policymakers, and community stakeholders interested in leveraging trails as tools for safe, vibrant public spaces. Anticipated findings will address current gaps in the literature by exploring nuanced interactions between urban trails and crime, informing data-driven strategies for safer urban development.